Friday, May 8, 2015

And now ...

From the BBC website:
Polling expert John Curtice says the results so far broadly reflect the exit poll. The initial forecast is looking "certainly reasonably OK". He does not rule out the Conservatives taking 323 seats, which would give them a majority in the Commons.
Ha! I may yet proved to be right on a small Tory majority.

At 01.10 Nick Robinson tweeted this on the BBC:
If this exit poll is correct, for Ed Miliband's Labour Party to do worse than Gordon Brown's Labour Party would be amazing. After the banking crisis that we had under Brown, after his personal unpopularity, it really, really would be quite extraordinary.
Quite so.

Is it time to start asking what role the DUP will play in the new Parliament and the new government?

Conservatives have held two seats and Labour has held four, one of which is Nick Brown's in Newcastle East, though there seem to be swings to the Tories. Rumour has it that George Galloway has lost (still only a rumour so let us not rejoice too soon) and, as a fact, he has been reported to the West Yorkshire police for tweeting exit polls before said polls had closed.

There are also rumours that Nigel Farage may have lost in South Thanet. As part of his reason for contesting that seat was to make sure that Craig McKinlay does not get in, one can but hope that he will fail to achieve that aim.

Exit polls, which were fairly accurate in 2010 but not always before that, put the Conservatives at 316, comfortably ahead but with no overall majority with Labour winning 239 seats, Lib-Dems 10, the SNP 58 (could the Scots be that mad really?) and UKIP 2, Plaid Cymru 4 and the Greens 2, which is more than anyone predicted for them and is rather a depressing thought. So far the three results in are all seats in Sunderland, held by Labour and tells us very little.


  1. “could the Scots be that mad really?”

    Right now (01.00), I'd say “Not quite”, but it'd be wishful thinking. Yes. Yes they can. As I've just said over at Counting Cats, they used to dutifully troop out in their droves to vote for some useless no-mark in red, and now they think they're being incredibly enlightened, clever, brave, and God knows what-all else, by dutifully trooping out in their droves to vote for a completely indistinguishable numpty in yellow.

    I'm reminded of that scene in Monty Python's Life of Brian: “Yes, we're all individuals!”

    1. Thank you for that deeply depressing but, I have no doubt, accurate analysis. I love that film, incidentally, all but the ending, which, in my opinion, is silly.

    2. You think only the ending is silly? What about that bit when Brian is saved from falling by a passing spaceship complete with aliens? :)